Sunday, May 15, 2016

comparative and absolute advantage

Absolute advantage
when a person can produce more of a certain good/service than someone else in the same amount of time
national- When a country can produce a good/service than another country can in the dame period of time
Comparative Advantage
when it cost less to produce a product than to buy it at a lower opprotunity cost
 Examples of input and output
Input:

  • # of hours to do a job
  • # of acres to feed a horse 
  • #of gallons to paint a house
Output:

  • tons per gallon or mph
  • TV's produced per hour




Mechanics of foreign exchange

The buying and selling of currency any transaction that occurs in balance of payments necessitates foreign exchange The exchange rate (e) is determined in the foreign currency markets changes in exchange rates
Exchange rates are a function of the supply and demand for currency. A increase in the supply of currency will decrease the e of currency, a decrease in supply will increase the e of currency
An increase for demand for a currency will increase e rate of currency, an decrease for demand decrease e for currency
appreciation of a currency occurs when the exchange rate of that currency increase (e goes up)
depreciation of a currency occurs when the exchange rate  of the currency decreases (e goes down)
Supply and Demand shifts-

    • consumers tastes 
    • relative income
    • relative price level
    • speculation
exports and imports
exchange rates are determinants of exports and imports appreciation of the dollar causes american goods to be relativity more expensive and foreign goods to be less. Which reduces exports and increases imports
Depreciation of the dollar causes american goods to be cheaper than foreign making an increase in exports and decrease in imports.


Extending the analysis of AS

Short run
Period in which wages remain fixed as price level increases or decreases. Price level changes allow for companies to exceed normal outputs and hire more workers because profits are increasing while wages remain constant. In long run wages will adjust accordingly. The long run As curve is represented with a vertical line at full employment level of real GDP
Inflation
Demand pull- prices increase based on increase in aggregate demand in the short run, demand pull will drive up the prices of and increase production . If long run increases aggregate demand will.
Cost push - arises from factors that will increase per unit costs such as increase in the price of a key resource shift left. in effort to fight cost-push the government can react in two different ways:

  • by spending which could create a inflationary spiral
  • no action which leads to recession by keeping production
Long run Phillips Curve
Because the long run Phillips curve  exists at natural rate of unemployment (un) structural change in the economy that effect Un will also cause LRPC to shift
Increases LRPC

  • Inflation-rises level 
  • Deflation- decline in price level
  • Disinflation- decrease in inflation rate over time
  • Stagflation- inflation and unemployment at equal

Friday, April 8, 2016

Single Bank and Banking system

When a customer deposits cash or withdrawals cash from their demand deposit account, it has no effect on money supply. It only changes: 
1.    The composition of money
2.    Excess reserves
3.    Required reserves
Single Bank
·   Loan from your excess reserves. (ER)
Banking system 
   Money increases by the multiple in the change of ER; ER * multiplier.
FED
When the FED buys or sells bonds, ER is created. # bought/sold * multiplier

Fiscal policy vs Monetary policy

n the early 21st century, here in the USA: 
An efficient, "full employment" economy will probably have: 
1.    An annual unemployment rate of 4-5%.
2.    An annual inflation rate of 2-3%.
If the economy goes into recession: 
3. The real GDP will decrease for at least 6 months.
4. The real unemployment rate will go to 6% or more.
5. The inflation rate will probably go to 2% or less.

If congress enacts Keynesian Fiscal Policies to attempt to slow/stop the recession, then:
6. The policy will try to improve C, or G (parts of AD0 
7.Congress will out federal taxes.
8. Congress will increase job and spending programs.
9. The federal budget will probably create a deficit.
10. Due to changes in Money Demand, interest rates will increase.

If the Federal Reserve Employs Monetary Policy options to slow/stop the recession, then:
11. The policy will target improvements in IG (part of AD)
12. The Fed will target a lower federal fund rate.
13. The Fed can lower the discount rate.
14. The Fed can buy bonds (Open Market Operations).
15. The Fed can lower the reserve requirement, but probably wont because it is too complex for the banks. 
16. These Fed policies will lower the interest rates through changes in the Money Supply.
17. These options should increase Ig.


If the economy suffers from too much demand-pull inflation or cost-push inflation, then:
18. The unemployment rate will go to 4% or less.
19. The inflation rate will probably go to 4% or more.
If Congress enacts Keynesian Fiscal Policies to attempt to slow/stop the inflation problems, then:
20. The policy will try to decrease C, or G (parts of AD)
21. Congress will increase federal taxes. 
22. Congress will decrease job and spending programs.
23. The federal budget will probably create a surplus.
24. Due to the changes in Money Demand, interest rates will decrease.

If the Federal Reserve Employs Monetary Policy options to slow/stop the inflation problems, then:         
25. The policy will target decreases in IG (part of AD).
26. The Fed will target a higher federal fund rate.
27. The Fed can increase discount rate.
28. The Fed can sell bonds (Open Market Operations).
29. The Fed can raise the reserve requirement, but probably wont because it is too complex for the banks. 
30. These Fed policies will raise the interest rates through changes in Money Supply.

31. These options should decrease Ig.

Crowding Out

What is it?
   A critique falls of Keynesian policies that are applied to fight a recession. (An expansionary policy)
Why does it happen?
·   The policy of cutting taxes and raising spending will create a budget deficit.
So?
   The budget deficit must be funded and to do this Congress orders the sale of US bonds. (This is NOT a Monetary Policy tool used by the Fed)
This money comes from? 
   Mostly from US citizens and companies and investment firms.
Therefore?
·      Money that could be spent on consumption or used for Private Savings is now being used to buy bonds.
On the Money Market?
·      This will cause the $ demand curve to shift outward. Remember this is a Fiscal event!
On the Loanable Funds Market? 
   This will cause the supply curve to shift inward because we are not saving money privately anymore.
Also, on the Loanable Funds?
   This can cause the demand curve to shift outward because the private and public demand for $ increases.
On both graphs?
   The nominal and real interest rate will increase.
Therefore, on the investment D graph
   The increase in nominal and real interest rates will cause Ig to decrease.
Isn't this counterproductive? 

   Yes
Why do it? 
   Fiscal Policy supporters (Keynesians) insist that gains in consumption (C) and spending (G) will outweigh any loss in the future Ig.
Why?
   C and G are greater than IG and they are short run improvements. IG is longer run and Keynesians don't worry about that. In the long run we are all dead.
Anymore?

Yes, this is summarized on the Aggregate Model. The AD will move outward due to the increases in C and G and the "maybe" move inward due to a loss of IG, but not as much as the increase. Therefore, the economy improves.

Thursday, April 7, 2016

Tool of Monetary Policy

1. The Reserve Requirement
   Only a small percent of your bank deposits is in the safe. The rest of your money has been loaned out. This is called Fractional Reserve Banking.
   FED sets amount that banks must hold.
   The RR is the percent of deposits that banks must hold in reserve and NOT loan out.
   When the FED increases the money supply it increases the amount of money held in bank deposits.
1. Decreasing Reserve Ratio
1.Banks hold less money and have more excess reserves
2.Banks create more money by loaning out excess
3.Money supply increases, interest rates fall, AD goes up
2. Increasing Reserve Ratio
   Banks hold more money and have less excess reserves
   Banks create less money
   Money supply decreases, interest rates increase, AD goes down

2. The Discount Rate- The interest rate that the FED charges commercial banks.

To increase the money supply, the FED should decrease the discount rate. (Easy money supply)
To decrease money supply, the FED should increase the discount rate. (Tight money supply)

3. Open Market Operations
   The FED buys/sells government bonds. (securities)
   To increase money supply, the FED should buy government securities.
   To decrease money supply, the FED should sell government securities.